UCF basketball

Last year, after winning huge recruiting battles, UCF basketball hoped that the lackluster 2020 would allow this team to explode into 2021.

UCF basketball landed C.J. Walker, the big transfer from Oregon, and underwhelmed a little in the COVID year. Coach Johnny Dawkins did his job and continued to recruit some big talent this off-season. Dawkins landed 4-star point guard Darius Johnson, shooting guard PJ Edwards, and big man from Texas, Ed’Xavior Rhodes for his 2021 recruiting class.

This Knight’s team lost Ibrahim Famouke Doumbia to Cal State Fullerton, Moses Bol to Milwaukee, Isaac Ward to Spring Hill, Avery Diggs to Chattanooga, and Collin Smith who is in the portal with no landing spot.

UCF had a very disappointing 11-12 season, going 8-10 in conference play. The lack of preparation and ability to mesh was a huge liability at times. However, after a year and bringing back the starters and the talent, UCF basketball will be difficult to beat with cohesion, coaching, and length. Last year, they had some great matchups set up and even won a couple, including OU (canceled), Auburn (win), Michigan (loss), and Florida State (win).

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Projected Rotation

PG: Darius Perry (6-2, 195, Sr.)

2021 stats: 14.7 points, 3.6 rebounds, 3.4 assists, 1.3 steals

Projected stats: 15.5 points, 4.0 rebounds, 4.0 assists, 1.4 steals

SG: Darin Green (6-4, 180, Jr.)

2021 stats: 11.3 points, 2.9 rebounds, 1.0 assists, 0.9 steals

Projected stats: 10.0 points, 3.0 rebounds, 1.5 assists, 1.1 steals

SF: Brandon Mahan (6-5, 200, Sr.)

2021 stats: 12.3 points, 5.0 rebounds, 1.9 assists, 1.1 steals

Projected stats: 12.5 points, 4.0 rebounds, 2.0 assists, 1.3 steals

PF: Isaiah Adams (6-6, 170, Fr.)

247Sports 3-star rated recruit

Projected stats: 9.5 points, 4.0 rebounds, 1.5 assists, 1.3 steals

C: C.J. Walker (6-8, 200, Jr.)

2021 stats: 7.0 points, 5.0 rebounds, 0.9 assists, 1.7 blocks (Oregon)

Projected stats: 10.0 points, 5.5 rebounds, 1.0 assists, 2.1 blocks

6: Dre Fuller Jr. (6-5, 210, Jr.)

2021 stats: 7.0 points, 4.7 rebounds, 2.5 assists, 1.0 steals

Projected stats: 7.5 points, 4.5 rebounds, 2.5 assists, 1.1 steals

7: Cheikh Mbacke Diong (6-11, 235, Gr. Sr.)

2021 stats: 8.9 points, 7.4 rebounds, 0.7 assists, 1.2 steals

Projected stats: 7.0 points, 6.0 rebounds, 1.0 assists, 1.6 steals

8: Tyem Freeman (6-6, 210, So.)

2021 stats: 18.1 points, 7.3 rebounds, 1.5 assists, 1.3 steals (Indian Hills CC)

Projected stats: 6.0 points, 3.0 rebounds, 1.0 assists, 0.9 steals

9: Tony Johnson Jr. (6-3, 185, Jr.)

2021 stats: 8.0 points, 1.0 rebounds, 1.0 assists, 1.0 steals

Projected stats: 4.0 points, 1.5 rebounds, 1.0 assists, 0.8 steals

10: Jamille Reynolds (6-9, 230, So.)

2021 stats: 5.0 points, 2.9 rebounds

Projected stats: 4.0 points, 2.0 rebounds

11: Sean Mobley (6-8, 225, Gr. Sr.)

2021 stats: 3.0 points, 2.1 rebounds, 1.3 assists

Projected stats: 3.5 points, 2.0 rebounds, 1.0 assists

Team MVP: Darius Perry

Darius Perry was the leading scorer for UCF basketball and the seventh leader in scoring in the American Athletic Conference. He was second on the team and in the conference in free-throw percentage behind Mahan, shooting 86.4%. Perry was also ninth in the conference in three-point percentage behind teammate Mahan again (third), 11th in the conference in assists, and 10th in steals.

Perry is going to be the spark and leader. UCF basketball will run its offense through him, and he hopes to set fire to the conference with his team and shooting for that top spot and a chance at the NCAA tournament bid.

Make-or-Break Player: C.J. Walker

With coming in just a year ago, Walker had a nice step up in the NCAA. UCF is hoping that the 3.0 point increase on average over his freshman year will continue.

Walker’s growth will be huge for this team as his agility and size will benefit this team. While Coach Dawkins is used to having a dominant big man, Walker really expands the Knight’s ability.

His talent is right on the brink, and while he hopes to end up in Mahan’s spot as the go-to guy, another year of growth will allow him to really make the leap the following year. If he takes a step back, Walker may end up coming off the bench and potentially being the sixth man of the year. His talent is a lot to live up to, but UCF basketball will need him to.

Bench Rating: 7/10

UCF basketball returns all of its starters. Dawkins looked to add depth and has done so. All of his bench players had minutes last year in college basketball games. The Knights have nine guards and six forwards. Coach Dawkins will look to a couple of forwards to play the five. However, the speed and length of UCF basketball will cause some havoc as it will cover a lot of distance, disrupt passing lanes and be more versatile on both ends of the court.

Analytic to Know: Second Chance Conversion Percentage

This analytic is pretty impressive for UCF as the Knights are in the top 32 teams in second-chance conversion percentage. This percentage is the total number of missed field goals divided by the field goal conversions that occur five seconds or less after an offensive rebound. They have a 6.42 percent, which is behind only two other AAC teams in Memphis’s 7.16. This is a big stat for the AAC. With the length and talent of the Knights, the opponent needs to hustle back into position or very quickly get in the way of players on breakaways.

Team Outlook

With UCF basketball looking to advance into the Big 12 in two years, they need to improve in bounds. While the program is ready to play in the power-six, being more consistent will need to be considered.

This team gets to face off against Oklahoma after the cancellation from last year. Michigan, Florida State, and Auburn are all returning to this year for a fantastic non-conference schedule.

The Knights will also take on Miami, Robert Morris, Coral Gables, Jacksonville, Bethune-Cookman, North Carolina A&T, and North Alabama. UCF basketball hopes to slide into the top half of the conference and should do so as it hopes to propel itself into a new chapter in the Big 12 in upcoming years.

Projected Finish: 3rd in the AAC

Projected Postseason Finish: Round of 64/ First Four Exit

Ceiling: Sweet 16 Exit