Come back for our NCAA Tournament Tracker which will be updated daily until Selection Sunday!
*Updated last on Mar. 13*
ACC
Locks (3)
- Duke (28-3, 19-1)
- Clemson (26-5, 18-2)
- Louisville (25-6, 18-2)
Should Be In (0)
Work To Do (3)
UNC (21-12, 13-7)
UNC got the win over Notre Dame in the second round of the ACC Tournament, but will need to win at least another to have a good chance of making the field.
SMU (23-9, 13-7)
You could argue SMU needs to win the ACC Tournament to get in, but even a run to the championship game might be enough.
Wake Forest (21-10, 13-7)
A massive game against UNC in the ACC Tournament quarterfinals is a must-win for the Demon Deacons. Lose and they’re out. Win and they stay alive.
Big 12
Locks (6)
- Houston (27-4, 19-1)
- Iowa State (24-8, 13-7)
- Texas Tech (24-7, 15-5)
- Arizona (20-11, 14-6)
- BYU (23-8, 14-6)
- Kansas (21-11, 11-9)
Should Be In (1)
Baylor (19-13, 10-10)
The Bears should feel pretty safe, but one more win in the Big 12 Tournament would absolutely clinch a spot.
Work To Do (2)
West Virginia (19-13, 10-10)
Matty Brackets still has West Virginia in the tournament but the loss to Colorado made things interesting. They better hope there aren’t any bid stealers.
Cincinnati (18-14, 7-13)
The only work Cincinnati can do is hope and pray. Even that might be too much as they are pretty far down the seed list, but aren’t out of it yet.
Big East
Locks (4)
- St. John’s (27-4, 18-2)
- Marquette (22-9, 13-7)
- Creighton (22-9, 15-5)
- UConn (22-9, 14-6)
Should Be In (0)
Work To Do (2)
Xavier (21-10, 13-7)
The Musketeers have been hot down the stretch but practically need a win against Marquette in the Big East Tournament quarterfinals. If they get that, their chances might be above 50%.
Villanova (19-13, 11-9)
Villanova handled business against Seton Hall but must beat UConn to keep the dream alive.
Big Ten
Locks (8)
- Michigan State (26-5, 17-3)
- Maryland (24-7, 14-6)
- Wisconsin (23-8, 13-7)
- Purdue (21-10, 13-7)
- Michigan (22-9, 14-6)
- Illinois (20-11, 12-8)
- UCLA (22-9, 13-7)
- Oregon (23-8, 12-8)
Should Be In (0)
Work To Do (3)
Ohio State (17-15, 9-11)
A win over Iowa wasn’t a must-have but it makes things interesting for a team that is barely above .500.
Indiana (19-12, 10-10)
The Hoosiers entered Thursday with no losses in Quad 3 or 4 games, which is a huge help on the bubble. But a win over Oregon would really get the conversation going.
Nebraska (17-14, 7-13)
Chances are slim, but a long run in the Big Ten Tournament can create some hope for Nebraska.
SEC
Locks (9)
- Auburn (27-4, 15-3)
- Florida (27-4, 14-4)
- Alabama (24-7, 13-5)
- Tennessee (25-6, 12-6)
- Texas A&M (22-9, 11-7)
- Kentucky (21-10, 10-8)
- Missouri (21-10, 10-8)
- Mississippi State (20-11, 8-10)
- Ole Miss (21-10, 10-8)
Should Be In (2)
Georgia (20-12, 8-10)
The Bulldogs finished the regular season strong so even though they aren’t in the SEC Tournament any more, they’re on the right side of the bubble.
Vanderbilt (20-12, 8-10)
Vanderbilt’s early exit from the SEC Tournament and late season struggles drops them down here just in case there is an influx of bid-stealers.
Work To Do (3)
Arkansas (20-12, 8-10)
I like where Arkansas is at metric-wise but they do not pass the eye test, practically wanting to lose to South Carolina in the SEC Tournament first round.
Oklahoma (20-12, 6-12)
The conference record might sting but Oklahoma has built their resume as of late and had a tremendous non-conference.
Texas (18-14, 6-12)
It might be tough to the SEC to get all but TWO teams in and Texas is certainly near the bottom of the list but the Longhorns’ win on Wednesday kept them in the hunt.
Others
Locks (1)
- Saint Mary’s (27-4, 17-1)
- Memphis (26-5, 16-2)
- Gonzaga (23-8, 14-4)
Should Be In (3)
Utah State (25-6, 15-5)
Id’ argue the Aggies are in already, but one more win in the MWC Tournament could solidify things.
New Mexico (25-6, 17-3)
While the Mountain West might be a three-bid league, we still aren’t sure which three teams will get in, but UNM is as close as anyone.
VCU (25-6, 15-3)
I think the Rams are tournament-worthy but they might want to at least make the A-10 semis to not have to worry about it too much.
Work To Do (7)
San Diego State (19-7, 12-5)
Death, taxes, and San Diego State’s defense. The Aztecs shut down New Mexico, inching closer to being in a good spot for the tournament.
UC San Diego (28-4, 18-2)
The Tritons will be that one mid-major team that creates a lot of debate if they don’t end up winning the Big West Championship.
Boise State (22-9, 14-6)
The Broncos couldn’t get past Colorado state to finish the regular season, so more pressure is on a deep run in the MWC tourney.
Colorado State (22-9, 16-4)
The Rams also would need to reach the Mountain West championship to have any chance as an at-large bid.
George Mason (24-7, 15-3)
George Mason virtually needs to make the A-10 finals which isn’t beyond any stretch of the imagination, but they can’t afford to be knocked out any earlier.
Dayton (22-9, 12-6)
A run to the Atlantic 10 chip could also give Dayton a fairly good argument for an at-large spot.
UC Irvine (27-5, 17-3)
Metrics are the biggest killer so the Anteaters arguably need to win the Big West Tournament, but if EVERYTHING goes right you could still make an argument.